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Weekly Recap, Oct 5–Oct 9, 2026
SPY, QQQ and NVDA all set their weekly highs on Tuesday, then gave ground Wednesday and Thursday before a partial bounce on Friday. The result was a week of mixed signals, with SPY up, QQQ roughly flat and NVDA down.
Ticker Friday close Week
SPY $778.57 +1.16%
QQQ $751.27 +0.23%
NVDA $229.28 –2.00%
Friday read: split. SPY closed above its pivot while QQQ and NVDA closed below theirs, so the bounce is unconfirmed until the first sessions of the new week.
What is driving it. Thursday’s break in QQQ and NVDA came on AI-trade headlines while the 10-year yield closed lower, so it was an equity event, not a rates event. Next week the focus shifts to rates, with CPI on Wednesday at 8:30 AM ET forecast hotter than the prior print on the headline.
The record, misses included. This week graded 2 confirmed, 1 confirmed partial and 2 invalidated. Every graded session is reported plainly, including the ones that went against the call.
This is the headline read. Paid subscribers get all the information behind the trade every trading day before the open: the positioning and flow read, the rates and credit picture, the structural levels and the regime read, each graded honestly afterward. $49 a month, cancel anytime.
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— Nate
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