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August 11, 2026 — Pre-Market

SPY · QQQ · NVDA

All three tracked names come into today's open close to pivot, though not sitting flat on it like Monday's setup. SPY ($772.25) and QQQ ($720.50) are trading a modest gap below their pivots pre-market, while NVDA ($219.20) is essentially flat at its own level.

SPY	Pivot $774.00 · Spot $772.25 (–$1.75)
QQQ	Pivot $723.00 · Spot $720.50 (–$2.50)
NVDA	Pivot $219.00 · Spot $219.20 (+$0.20)

Session Bias: Neutral, Slight Bearish Tilt. The complex is still working off Monday's clean invalidation, and the leveraged-fund short base in SPY/QQQ futures remains crowded. Working against the bearish case: improving Nasdaq-100 breadth and NVDA's $500B financing-platform news. Working against the bullish case: yields firming, the MOVE Index still elevated, and oil pushing higher on Hormuz risk. The RBA held rates at 4.35% overnight — a non-event. Japan's market is closed today for a holiday.

This is the headline read. Paid subscribers also get the full positioning breakdown, options-flow concentration levels, and full trade setups — entries, stops, and targets on every structure — plus the probability-weighted Thesis Tree behind today's lean.

— Nate

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