SPY, QQQ, and NVDA are all sitting modestly above pivot heading into this morning's session, with July CPI at 8:30 AM ET as the dominant, binary catalyst. A 10-year Treasury note auction (~$42B) adds a secondary rates-volatility window this afternoon. The read stays genuinely two-sided — no directional lean until the print resolves it.
| Ticker | Spot | Pivot | Bias |
| SPY | $771.70 | $771.00 | Wildcard |
| QQQ | $722.00 | $719.00 | Wildcard |
| NVDA | $218.90 | $218.00 | Wildcard |
Session Bias: Neutral, CPI-Contingent — Two-Sided at the Pivot. A synchronized 15-minute failure to reclaim/hold the levels above keeps the bear path live; synchronized acceptance above all three flips the read bullish.
Overnight AI-infrastructure earnings (CoreWeave, Super Micro) were decisively positive — a real tailwind for NVDA into the open, though it sits second to CPI today. The Strait of Hormuz standoff also escalated overnight with a Houthi attack in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, adding a live inflation-expectations risk ahead of the print.
That's the headline read. Paid subscribers get the full trade framework for all three names — entry triggers, invalidation conditions, verified R:R math on every structure, the options-flow concentration blocks, and the complete Thesis Tree behind today's lean.
— Nate
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