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Flow Maps Pro
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August 14, 2026 · Pre-Market
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SPY, QQQ, and NVDA are all sitting above pivot heading into two back-to-back catalysts this morning: 8:30 AM Retail Sales and 10:00 AM Michigan Sentiment/Inflation Expectations. Real yields have also ticked higher overnight on fresh Iran-sanctions headlines, and Applied Materials' post-earnings sell-off is adding independent gap risk for NVDA and semis. The read stays genuinely two-sided until the prints resolve it.
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| Ticker |
Spot |
Pivot |
Bias |
| SPY |
$778.26 |
$778.00 |
Wildcard |
| QQQ |
$732.80 |
$731.00 |
Wildcard |
| NVDA |
$225.82 |
$225.00 |
Wildcard |
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Session Bias: Neutral, Retail-Sales/Michigan-Contingent, Conditional Bullish Lean (~45%). None of the three pivots has been breached as of this morning's check — if anything, the cushion above pivot has widened overnight, most notably for QQQ. A synchronized 15-minute failure to reclaim/hold the levels above keeps the bear path live; synchronized acceptance above all three keeps the bullish read intact.
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What's driving it: Treasury yields ticked higher overnight after the U.S. threatened Iran with further economic sanctions — the 10-year nominal print is up to 4.66% from Thursday's 4.641% close, an incremental headwind for QQQ and NVDA layered on top of today's two data prints. Applied Materials beat on every metric after Thursday's close but traded down 4–5% after hours, adding independent gap risk for NVDA and the broader semis complex. Breadth continues to broaden, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 improving sharply on 50-day and 200-day measures.
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This is the headline read. Paid subscribers also get full trade setups with entries, stops, and targets — plus the institutional positioning breakdown, options-flow concentration levels, and the probability-weighted Thesis Tree behind today's lean.
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— Nate
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Standard Institutional Disclaimer: Flow Maps Pro is an educational platform providing institutional macro market research, order flow analysis, and mathematical data for educational and informational purposes only. We are not registered financial advisors, broker-dealers, or commodity trading advisors (CTAs). While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, pricing, strikes, dates, and trade levels may contain errors or become outdated without notice. No content, tools, or trade frameworks shared constitute a personalized recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, option, or financial instrument. Options trading involves a high degree of risk and can result in the loss of your entire principal. Past performance or options flow anomalies do not guarantee future market results. All sales are final. By utilizing this platform, you agree that you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and risk management.
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