Nate | 08/25/2026
Flow Maps Pro
Pre-Market Report — 08/25/2026 · Data Snapshot 4:15 AM ET
SPY, QQQ, and NVDA are all holding above their reset pivots this morning, with cushions ranging $1.80–$3.30. Two mechanical windows — the 10:00 AM ET data block and the 1:00 PM ET 2-Year Note auction — are the swing events that decide which way this breaks.
Ticker Spot Pivot Cushion
SPY $764.81 $763.00 +$1.81
QQQ $709.30 $706.00 +$3.30
NVDA $210.30 $208.50 +$1.80
Session Bias: Neutral-to-Slightly Bullish (~40% bull / 35% bear / 25% chop), confirmation-contingent.
All three names holding above pivot, modestly positive overnight futures (Dow +0.04%, S&P 500 +0.15%, Nasdaq +0.39%), improving S&P 500 breadth, and stable credit support the upside path. The counterweight: real yields firmed overnight and Nasdaq-100/Russell 2000 breadth softened, which is why the lean stays slight rather than strong. A synchronized loss of all three pivots flips the session bearish.
This is the headline read. Paid subscribers also get the full Trade Framework for all three names (Long and Short R:R, entry triggers, invalidation levels), institutional positioning and options-flow synthesis, the complete Thesis Tree, and today's Key Risks — everything behind the number, not just the number.
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— Nate
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