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Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | Pre-Market

Monday’s gap higher reset the pivots, and this morning SPY, QQQ and NVDA are all sitting right on them. The marks are still under Monday’s closes, so it only takes a small move to decide which way this goes.

Ticker Spot (3:55 AM ET) Pivot
SPY $764.60 $764.50
QQQ $709.50 $709.50
NVDA $215.20 $215.00

Session bias: No Trade pre-open, then Need Confirmation. Slight bear lean at low conviction. The lean only matters if all three names close under their pivots together and a retest from beneath fails. Mixed results mean wait.

What’s driving it: The FOMC meeting starts today, with the decision Wednesday at 2:00 PM ET. Today’s data lands at 8:30 AM and 10:00 AM, and the $70B 5-year Treasury auction at 1:00 PM is the main rates test. Overnight the 10-year real yield slipped while the dollar firmed, and Asian chip stocks rallied. With no Fed speakers allowed before the decision, price will lean on the data and the auction.

This is the headline read. Paid subscribers also get all the information behind the trade: the full long and short trade framework on SPY, QQQ and NVDA with verified R:R, the institutional positioning read, options flow concentrations, the regime read, and the Thesis Tree with the exact evidence that would flip the call. $49/month, cancel anytime.

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— Nate

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