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Wednesday, October 14, 2026  |  Pre-Market

Good morning. The three names are split heading into the 8:30 AM ET CPI print: SPY and QQQ sit just above their pivots, while NVDA sits just below. That is not a coordinated signal, so the plan is patience until the cash session confirms.

Levels snapshot (as of 3:10 AM ET)

Ticker Spot Pivot Read
SPY $779.35 $777.50 Above pivot
QQQ $744.16 $743.50 Above pivot
NVDA $228.90 $229.50 Below pivot

Session Bias: No Trade before CPI, then Need Confirmation. Marginal bear edge, low conviction. A pre-market mark is not a close, and a mixed result across the three names is a split market.

What’s driving it: CPI at 8:30 AM ET is the event. Consensus is headline 0.6% m/m and 3.6% y/y, core 0.2% m/m and 2.5% y/y, and it prints before the open, so the first cash bars already reflect it. ASML beat expectations overnight, yet Nasdaq futures are slightly lower at –0.05%. WTI is $94.50, up from Tuesday’s pre-market mark, and the 10-year yield is 5.198%. Let the CPI reaction settle before acting.

This is the headline read. Paid subscribers get all the information behind the trade: the full trade framework for SPY, QQQ and NVDA, institutional positioning, options flow, and the Thesis Tree with the full regime read. $49/mo, cancel anytime.

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— Nate

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