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Thursday, October 22, 2026  |  Pre-Market

SPY, QQQ and NVDA are all trading below Wednesday’s closes this morning, and our pivots have reset lower. SPY and NVDA sit just under theirs while QQQ sits just above its own, so nothing is confirmed yet.

Ticker 3:00 AM ET Pivot vs. Pivot
SPY $766.70 $767 $0.30 below
QQQ $714.20 $714 $0.20 above
NVDA $217.90 $218 $0.10 below

Session bias: No Trade pre-open, then Need Confirmation. Slight bull lean, low conviction. SPY and NVDA have to reclaim their pivots to join QQQ; QQQ alone is a split, not a confirmation.

What’s driving it: Asia sold off overnight (Nikkei –2.65%, KOSPI –3.41%) and BTC is down 2.11%, while the DAX is bid and yields and the dollar are lower. Middle East oil headlines are live, with Brent above $110 per CNBC. Today’s tests are jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET and the $26B 5-year TIPS auction at 1:00 PM ET. Wednesday’s big-tech earnings read constructive, yet the tape has not turned that into a bid.

This is the headline read. Paid subscribers also get the full trade framework with entries, targets and stops for all three names, the positioning and options-flow breakdown, the regime read, and the Thesis Tree showing exactly what would change the call. Every session is graded honestly on our public track record.

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— Nate

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